Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.946381 2.053007 2.163794 2.287772 2.422974 2.566318 2.730271
2026-01-18 1.811263 1.970773 2.144713 2.349715 2.586341 2.852900 3.178772
2026-01-25 1.674823 1.864060 2.077932 2.340169 2.656740 3.031517 3.516488
2026-02-01 1.552707 1.757874 1.996156 2.297480 2.674539 3.139596 3.771355
2026-02-08 1.437425 1.648402 1.898559 2.222550 2.639644 3.171433 3.923709
2026-02-15 1.357568 1.574713 1.837006 2.184180 2.643019 3.246666 4.134823
2026-02-22 1.302381 1.526885 1.802833 2.175719 2.681239 3.367220 4.417534
2026-03-01 1.245365 1.472933 1.756722 2.146935 2.687553 3.441177 4.636730
2026-03-08 1.171993 1.394394 1.674469 2.064185 2.612285 3.390914 4.657909
2026-03-15 1.134176 1.359594 1.647037 2.053176 2.635642 3.483974 4.912336
2026-03-22 1.127556 1.364607 1.671731 2.114323 2.765482 3.745851 5.475330
2026-03-29 1.103437 1.345160 1.662181 2.126079 2.822434 3.899100 5.872833
2026-04-05 1.080641 1.328595 1.658475 2.150028 2.905936 4.113381 6.436541
2026-04-12 1.061232 1.316036 1.660026 2.182321 3.006155 4.368933 7.135364
2026-04-19 1.027344 1.282148 1.629893 2.165373 3.026465 4.490004 7.591002
2026-04-26 0.988604 1.239941 1.585880 2.124532 3.004167 4.532406 7.887719
2026-05-03 0.944513 1.188662 1.526668 2.057009 2.932382 4.476845 7.955224
2026-05-10 0.912972 1.153939 1.490027 2.022568 2.913818 4.518348 8.256772
2026-05-17 0.891129 1.132118 1.471225 2.014923 2.940221 4.647834 8.799953
2026-05-24 0.865635 1.104180 1.442206 1.989280 2.932943 4.709956 9.187589
2026-05-31 0.828394 1.058305 1.384967 1.915555 2.835546 4.581639 9.043759
2026-06-07 0.810249 1.039477 1.367555 1.905730 2.852347 4.688703 9.572457
2026-06-14 0.809838 1.046268 1.388826 1.960229 2.990286 5.066290 11.000216